Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 2.777851e-01 0.377095 0.493363 0.637256 0.808268 1.002823 1.238649
2025-11-30 1.596697e-01 0.279353 0.442645 0.670955 0.971239 1.342561 1.825922
2025-12-07 8.925537e-02 0.207508 0.396475 0.692127 1.115674 1.674840 2.442239
2025-12-14 4.661441e-02 0.151674 0.350654 0.697493 1.233474 1.980848 3.050778
2025-12-21 2.121896e-02 0.106292 0.301838 0.682165 1.313286 2.237316 3.608995
2025-12-28 9.720851e-03 0.079834 0.275058 0.693340 1.429404 2.549300 4.258396
2026-01-04 3.637774e-03 0.058356 0.247383 0.693838 1.524331 2.832858 4.879443
2026-01-11 7.831880e-04 0.038969 0.212286 0.669059 1.570003 3.040863 5.397991
2026-01-18 6.349085e-05 0.025902 0.184648 0.650822 1.621523 3.257282 5.934844
2026-01-25 2.749200e-08 0.018407 0.168982 0.654516 1.711273 3.537262 6.575799
2026-02-01 NaN 0.011074 0.144532 0.628786 1.739827 3.716078 7.066675
2026-02-08 NaN 0.008598 0.141207 0.657310 1.877272 4.082226 7.858705
2026-02-15 NaN 0.005500 0.128796 0.658269 1.961124 4.366057 8.539853
2026-02-22 NaN 0.004704 0.132752 0.709287 2.154681 4.848529 9.551768
2026-03-01 NaN 0.003503 0.130381 0.740075 2.307326 5.265730 10.471569
2026-03-08 NaN 0.002206 0.122355 0.750252 2.415493 5.608411 11.280836
2026-03-15 NaN 0.001057 0.108670 0.736425 2.468076 5.853035 11.937128
2026-03-22 NaN 0.000584 0.102936 0.749412 2.582288 6.212748 12.789800
2026-03-29 NaN 0.000247 0.094869 0.750553 2.668122 6.522574 13.566471
2026-04-05 NaN 0.000044 0.081561 0.724671 2.686045 6.706094 14.136930
2026-04-12 NaN 0.000002 0.071012 0.705535 2.717554 6.914989 14.753584
2026-04-19 NaN NaN 0.065857 0.709523 2.807149 7.236937 15.567594
2026-04-26 NaN NaN 0.055626 0.682326 2.813018 7.396932 16.108831